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Economics | Central Banks

BOJ Analysts Delay Rate Hike Expectations Following Takaichi’s Appointment

By and | October 23, 2025, 1:15 AM UTC

The latest Bloomberg survey reveals a significant change in the outlook for the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) interest rate hikes, with analysts pushing back their expectations for the timing of the next increase. Only a small fraction anticipate a rate hike during the upcoming policy meeting scheduled for October 30.

According to the survey, just 10% of the 50 economists surveyed believe the BOJ will raise its benchmark interest rate at the conclusion of the two-day meeting, a sharp decline from 36% in the previous month’s poll. Instead, December has emerged as the favored timeframe for a potential increase, with 50% of respondents predicting a hike then, followed closely by 38% who expect it to occur in January.

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